Entries by ams

Nomination Markets

There have been quite a few articles about the betting markets on the next supreme court nomination. The Washington Post noticed that there’s a difference between odds posted by bookies and the results of markets. (The bookies were handicapped by having to make their projects before the news was out about Sandra Day O’Connor retiring […]

Zocalo First Release

Zocalo is now open source. I have placed source and binary tar files at sourceforge. The project name is zocalo. Here is the direct link to the file download page. Of course, there are many caveats. The current version is intended to support a particular experiment that will be run at George Mason University. The […]

WTO Gambling decision

The appeals body upheld the original decision even though they significantly narrowed the grounds for the ruling. A more important question is what did the WTO decide and what does it mean for gambling laws in the US? And will it have any effect on prediction markets?

More from SOUPS

Excellent paper on phishing from Dhamija and Tygar of UCB, The Battle Against Phishing: Dynamic Security Skins. Doug Tygar, you may know, was co-author of the security+HCI paper Why Johnny Can’t Encrypt. They describe the problem of phishing, make a systematic analysis of the technical challenges, survey current phishing countermeasures, and describe countermeasures of their […]

Symposium on Usable Privacy and Security

Blogging from SOUPS 2005 at CMU. Ches just gave the keynote talk titled My Dad’s Computer, Microsoft, and the Future of Internet Security, which like all good talks, has been evolving for some time. Money quotes: “Dad, your computer is blowing blue smoke all over the Internet!” “These virus-building tools have GUIs, *nice* GUIs.” On […]

HP’s Tycoon featured in The Economist

Back on March 10th, Bernardo Huberman’s group’s work at HP showed up in the Economist’s Technology Quarterly as an example of internal markets at work. But what commodity should one make a market in? As the article excerpt points out, electricity is sold by the kilowatt-hour, but computing consists of (at least) three distinct qualities: […]

Weather Betting

James Annan, the climate scientist I blogged about earlier, is at it again. He is in the mainstream on the global warming question. AFAICT, that’s pretty unusual for someone who is loudly challenging others to stake their reputations on a specific bet. Usually, people out of the mainstream use this tactic in order to get […]

BusinessWeek on Prediction Markets, other decentralized tools

The latest cover story in BusinessWeek, The Power Of Us, is about using the Internet to harness the power of decentralized talent — from web services to let small merchants build big stores, to aggregating marketing information fragmented across engineers, salespeople, and customers using markets. It also quoted two of the contributors to our recent […]

IDG’s Anthes reviews Sun Labs

Recently, Sun has been running an intriguing double-page spread print campaign with various of their technical luminaries standing in a field, Hands-Across-America style. Some depictions are a bit disingenuous (Bill Joy), some are not as flattering as they could be, and some, indeed, are eyebrow-raising “Oh yeah, I guess so-and-so really is still there!” This […]

Trust, Oxytocin, and Economics

By now, most of you have seen announcements of the recent paper showing that Oxytocin increased the level of trusting behavior in an experimental setting. The aspect of these results that I want to focus on isn’t the medical implications, or the possibilities for abuse or for clinical use, but the fact that economics experiments […]