Entries by ams

ACM highlights our AJAX analysis in Infoworld

It was a pleasure to work with the folks at Infoworld on adding a counterpoint to the AJAX application development package they released this week. After all, AJAX is still pull, and the push technology to make the Web work more interactively is still only just emerging… “What’s Next After AJAX?” InfoWorld (05/23/05); Khare, Rohit […]

Observed bias in FX markets

It looks like the [FX] market has some credibility, but a substantial bias in favour of lower-priced claims which are clearly over-priced. Nothing with a price of 0.36 or lower with one year to go actually came true!

Mapping Strategy

Art Hutchinson blogged a couple of unrelated posts that mentioned Prediction Markets peripherally and used the occasion to make some interesting points himself. This is one of those rare cases where there’s more material in the commentary than was evident in the sources. If you follow the links back, you’ll find somewhat interesting blog entries […]

URL History Bloom Filters

Social recommendation networks Often I’m interested in the same web pages my friends read. Sometimes, reading their blogs tells me what they read; del.icio.us helps, too. However, those approaches take some work per page: you have to explicitly post a link to each page to tell me you liked it. It’s nearly the same amount […]

Consistent Hashing Multicast

by Kragen Sitaker; see also Publications These are the few thoughts I jotted down in September, 2004, on how to begin to handle decentralized application-layer multicast. I think I came up with a protocol that satisfies the end-to-end principle almost to a fault. Gilles pointed out today that 3GHz of Xeon costs about as much […]

Hawkins “spins out” Redwood Inst. as Numenta

Jeff Hawkins, as most of the digerati knows, has been developing his theory of human intelligence for a while now, and recently founded a non-profit research institute to pursue it with visiting researchers and sponsored graduate students. Redwood, in the Kepler’s Books building in Menlo Park, appears to remain quite separate from this venture, but […]

Yahoo! Research and O’Reilly roll out a prediction market in buzz

David Pennock‘s fascinating dynamic pari-mutuel market mechanism has finally surfaced in a public prediction market, TechBuzz. It’s a tournament co-sponsored by O’Reilly & Associates to predict future share of search query terms across ~100 “geek buzzwords.” It was launched during a session on “From the Labs” by YRL director Gary Flake (Ph.D., as he puts […]