Entries by ams

Public Bets don’t always add to Public Debate

Courtesy of Marginal Revolution’s Tyler Cowen, I read about the bet between Matthew Simmons (a Peak Oil pundit) and John Tierney (a NY Times columnist). It looked like another case of interesting public bets demonstrating that there was a contentious issue going unresolved in the public debate, so I proposed a claim for the FX […]

New Zocalo Release

I’ve just uploaded a new version of Zocalo to SourceForge. It’s available as a file download or via CVS. Here are the Release Notes and Change List. (Set your CVSROOT to :pserver:anonymous@cvs.sourceforge.net:/cvsroot/zocalo.) Kevin Hughes built us a pretty home page in the obvious project location on sourceforge. People who know the project name and that […]

Betting on the Price of Gas

The Wall Street Journal (registration required; bugmenot didn’t work) has an article on rising prices at the pump, titled “New Options for Saving at the Pump”. Most of the article discusses credit card enticements, membership club inducements and websites that help you find the cheapest gas in town. But they also have a paragraph on […]

ProTrade: crossing Moneyball with Prediction Markets

There’s a new prediction market coming soon with some interesting attributes. ProTrade is going to join the ranks of real money markets, and will concentrate on pro athletes. Their big twist on the market is that they’re going to follow the ideas of Billy Beane as presented by Michael Lewis in the book Moneyball. I’m […]

Angstro

Introduction Ångströ is that most dreaded of software artifacts, a multi-purpose platform: infrastructure for storing, retrieving, sharing, and searching Atom entries with semi-structured contents. Using Ångströ as a stable, secure remote store can dramatically increase the power of user scripts and AJAX-style user interfaces. Using Ångströ as a notebook to collect ‘factoids’ while surfing allows […]

Congrats on MonkeyDo!

Mark Pilgrim has radically transformed MagicLine into MonkeyDo, a new kind of “browsing assistant” that guesses what kind of page you’re on and offers to post it to your personal del.icio.us bookmarks log with the appropriate tags. I’m not sure he’d agree that there’s a line connecting the dots of MagicLine and MonkeyDo — you […]

Applying Bray’s TPSM to Microformats

Tim Bray had an (in)famous series of blog postings he called the Technology Predictor Success Matrix, or TPSM. It came up again recently in a debate over the validity of the Web2.0 moniker. I thought I should try applying it to see how Microformats might fare… In his original series, Tim Bray evaluated 7 big […]

Fortune magazine profiles Robin Hanson

CN collaborator (on Zocalo) and inventor of Prediction Markets and the term “idea futures,” Robin Hanson has been through quite a journey to getting tenure in the world of economics. He started out in artificial intelligence and… well, Jeremy Kahn’s profile from two years ago does a better job than I could of laying out […]

CN Board Member wins Honda Prize

CommerceNet’s newest Board member, Prof. Raj Reddy, has added a new honor to his surely-crowded mantelpiece. This time, it’s for the potential impact of robotics towards a cleaner environment. Reddy Awarded 2005 Honda Prize From the Honda Foundation The Honda Foundation has awarded Carnegie Mellon University professor Raj Reddy with the 2005 Honda Prize for […]

Fortune magazine covers Intrade (Tradesports)

Fortune magazine has done an impressive job of tracking the developments in prediction markets (with props to BW and Economist, too, of course), but it will be a long while before we get past the emotional and overhyped reactions stirred up by Poindexter’s tenure at DARPA. In the full version of this blogpost, read on […]