Prediction Market Year in Review

Chris Masse posted another
thorough review of the state of the
Prediction Markets field in the guise of an annual awards list.
Zocalo and my name came up a few times, sometimes positively,
sometimes not.

His summary from his rss feed gives the highlights. There are plenty
of pointers to interesting reports, articles, blogs, etc. I won’t repeat all the links here. That’s what Chris (doesn’t) get paid for.

  1. Blog Of The Year 2005: Jason Ruspini
  2. Book Of The Year 2005: James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds – Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations
  3. Consultant Of The Year 2005: NewsFutures
  4. Exchange Of The Year 2005: BetFair
  5. Market Of The Year 2005: The Harriet Miers confirmation prediction market @ InTrade/TradeSports
  6. Media Of The Year 2005: Fortune magazine, with this story, Making a
    Market in (Almost) Anything.

  7. News Of The Year 2005: The CFTC spanked TEN (TradeSports / InTrade), hard.
  8. Opinion Of The Year 2005: Good News: CFTC Busts Intrade. – by Tom Bell – 2005-10-10
  9. Paper Of The Year 2005: Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz’s 2005 Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
  10. Presentation Of The Year 2005: John Ledyard Information Markets
  11. Resource Of The Year 2005: del.icio.us / tag / predictionmarkets
  12. Scholar Of The Year 2005: David Pennock
  13. Software Of The Year 2005: Consensus Point’s Idea Futures

I’m looking forward to more growth of the field, and lots of
interesting work this year.

/by