March 6, 2006

Prediction Market Year in Review

Prediction Markets By: ams

Chris Masse posted another
thorough review
of the state of the
Prediction Markets field in the guise of an annual awards list.
Zocalo and my name came up a few times, sometimes positively,
sometimes not.

His summary from his rss feed gives the highlights. There are plenty
of pointers to interesting reports, articles, blogs, etc. I won’t repeat all the links here. That’s what Chris (doesn’t) get paid for.

  1. Blog Of The Year 2005: Jason Ruspini
  2. Book Of The Year 2005: James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds – Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations
  3. Consultant Of The Year 2005: NewsFutures
  4. Exchange Of The Year 2005: BetFair
  5. Market Of The Year 2005: The Harriet Miers confirmation prediction market @ InTrade/TradeSports
  6. Media Of The Year 2005: Fortune magazine, with this story, Making a
    Market in (Almost) Anything.

  7. News Of The Year 2005: The CFTC spanked TEN (TradeSports / InTrade), hard.
  8. Opinion Of The Year 2005: Good News: CFTC Busts Intrade. – by Tom Bell – 2005-10-10
  9. Paper Of The Year 2005: Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz’s 2005 Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
  10. Presentation Of The Year 2005: John Ledyard Information Markets
  11. Resource Of The Year 2005: del.icio.us / tag / predictionmarkets
  12. Scholar Of The Year 2005: David Pennock
  13. Software Of The Year 2005: Consensus Point’s Idea Futures

I’m looking forward to more growth of the field, and lots of
interesting work this year.

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